Description

This analysis provides a forecast of HBAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.033056 0.037329 0.042055 0.047688 0.054244 0.061664 0.070737
2024-10-20 0.025769 0.031307 0.037995 0.046744 0.058004 0.072169 0.091589
2024-10-27 0.021462 0.027371 0.034941 0.045503 0.060101 0.079935 0.109572
2024-11-03 0.019298 0.025606 0.034090 0.046583 0.064937 0.091615 0.134686
2024-11-10 0.017678 0.024253 0.033469 0.047688 0.069728 0.103763 0.162752
2024-11-17 0.016074 0.022675 0.032256 0.047636 0.072608 0.113279 0.188415
2024-11-24 0.014597 0.021088 0.030798 0.046933 0.074228 0.120857 0.212179
2024-12-01 0.013602 0.020104 0.030112 0.047309 0.077598 0.131858 0.244602
2024-12-08 0.012689 0.019142 0.029336 0.047399 0.080417 0.142258 0.278218
2024-12-15 0.011950 0.018377 0.028785 0.047774 0.083752 0.154141 0.317842
2024-12-22 0.010909 0.017027 0.027124 0.045971 0.082703 0.157099 0.338161
2024-12-29 0.010638 0.016928 0.027570 0.048039 0.089460 0.177363 0.405040
2025-01-05 0.009599 0.015487 0.025625 0.045556 0.087008 0.178064 0.425194
2025-01-12 0.008897 0.014582 0.024573 0.044711 0.087956 0.186886 0.470835
2025-01-19 0.008228 0.013676 0.023429 0.043537 0.087994 0.193586 0.513002
2025-01-26 0.007913 0.013376 0.023373 0.044562 0.093109 0.213905 0.604390
2025-02-02 0.007627 0.013102 0.023335 0.045610 0.098459 0.236171 0.712275
2025-02-09 0.007241 0.012609 0.022821 0.045560 0.101152 0.251934 0.805193
2025-02-16 0.006825 0.012024 0.022072 0.044894 0.102191 0.263289 0.887392
2025-02-23 0.006547 0.011685 0.021788 0.045251 0.105942 0.283702 1.017040
2025-03-02 0.006264 0.011316 0.021409 0.045336 0.108991 0.302817 1.152644
2025-03-09 0.006028 0.011020 0.021156 0.045691 0.112858 0.325738 1.320797
2025-03-16 0.005632 0.010375 0.020106 0.043981 0.110571 0.327260 1.384416